今日观察！A Wave of "Kete Valuation" Sweeps Through the Market: 50 Stocks Poised for Strong Growth

A Wave of "Kete Valuation" Sweeps Through the Market: 50 Stocks Poised for Strong Growth

Shanghai, China - June 17, 2024 - A recent surge in investor sentiment towards growth stocks, particularly in the healthcare and technology sectors, has been dubbed the "Kete Valuation" phenomenon, named after the Chinese pharmaceutical company C-Bridge (6160.HK). This trend is reminiscent of the "CATL Valuation" rally that occurred in 2021, driven by the strong performance of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (300015.SZ).

The "Kete Valuation" is characterized by a sharp increase in the share prices of companies with promising growth prospects, often defying broader market trends. This is evident in the recent performance of 50 stocks identified by analysts as having significant growth potential. These stocks, spanning various industries including healthcare, technology, and consumer goods, have exhibited remarkable resilience amidst recent market volatility.

Factors Driving the "Kete Valuation"

Several factors are contributing to the "Kete Valuation" trend. Firstly, investors are increasingly seeking out companies that can deliver sustainable growth, particularly in the face of global economic uncertainties. Secondly, the easing of monetary policy in major economies is providing a supportive backdrop for riskier assets like growth stocks. Additionally, advancements in technology and innovation are creating new opportunities for companies in various sectors, fueling investor optimism.

Key Beneficiaries of the "Kete Valuation"

Among the 50 stocks identified as potential beneficiaries of the "Kete Valuation," C-Bridge (6160.HK) stands out as a frontrunner. The company's innovative cancer therapies and strong pipeline of new drugs have attracted significant investor interest. Other notable stocks include:

• Ascletis Pharma (1672.HK): A clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing novel therapies for cancer and viral diseases.

• Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015.SZ): A leading provider of comprehensive eye care services in China.

• Xiaomi Corporation (1810.HK): A global technology company known for its smartphones, smart home devices, and internet services.

Investment Implications

The "Kete Valuation" presents an opportunity for investors to capitalize on the growth potential of select companies. However, careful due diligence is crucial, as not all growth stocks are created equal. Investors should thoroughly evaluate a company's financial health, competitive landscape, and long-term growth prospects before making investment decisions.

The "Kete Valuation" highlights the evolving dynamics of the Chinese stock market, where investors are increasingly discerning and seeking out companies with genuine growth potential. This trend is likely to continue as China's economy transitions towards a more innovation-driven and knowledge-based model.

M1增速罕见转负：统计口径变化背后何种深层信号？

上海证券报 记者 周亮

2024年6月17日，央行发布了5月末金融数据。其中，M1（现金+活期存款）余额同比下降4.2%，这是M1自1997年有统计以来首次出现同比负增长。这一罕见现象引发了市场广泛关注。

数据背后的"真相"

M1是反映货币供应量中最基本的指标，通常也被称为狭义货币供应量。M1同比负增长意味着市场上流通的现金和活期存款余额出现了萎缩。

从表面上看，M1负增长似乎反映了经济下行、流动性不足等问题。然而，一些专家指出，M1增速下降也可能与统计口径变化有关。

2022年以来，央行一直在推动金融机构规范表外业务，并对第三方支付机构备付金等纳入统计。这些措施导致部分资金统计口径发生了变化，从而影响了M1增速的同比数据。

专家解读：M1增速或被低估

光大证券首席金融分析师王一平表示，如果将居民活期存款、非存款类的金融产品、第三方支付机构备付金这三类资金纳入M1统计口径，那么5月末M1增速大概在0.6%-1.1%之间。

王一平进一步指出，从趋势上看，M1增速与社融增速、GDP增速的相关性有所下降，M1增速的参考意义有所减弱。

经济运行仍有韧性

尽管M1增速出现负增长，但央行数据显示，5月末M2（广义货币供应量）余额同比增长7%，社融规模同比增长8.4%，信贷规模同比增长10.8%。这些数据表明，整体货币供应量和信贷投放仍然保持适度增长，经济运行总体保持平稳。

交通银行金融研究中心首席分析师刘航认为，M1增速下降不应过度解读，要综合研判多项指标，才能更准确地判断经济运行状况。

未来M1走势值得关注

对于未来M1的走势，专家们普遍认为，将取决于以下几个因素：

• 商品房销售增速何时企稳
• 财政发力进展
• 出口企业结售汇情况

招商证券首席宏观分析师张宏认为，随着经济企稳回升，M1增速有望在二季度末三季度初恢复正增长。

此外，一些专家也建议，相关部门应进一步完善货币供应量统计指标，更好地反映经济运行的实际情况。